Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Grau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Grau to win60% · @1.90
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.00
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with FBC Melgar 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Alianza Lima 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Atletico Grau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Atletico Grau and 0.5 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Atletico Grau to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Grau or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Deportivo Garcilaso14%fair 6.96 · @4.35
1.97Expected goals
1.43Atletico Grau xG
0.54Deportivo Garcilaso xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.4 – 0.5 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win
60%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
5.00
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 5
DWLLL
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 5
DLLLL
15 Mar
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cusco
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Atletico Grau or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Garcilaso 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
