UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 22 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultUTC Cajamarca to win65% · @1.80

Double chanceUTC Cajamarca or draw86% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.65

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.44

UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction

The match

The Primera División sees UTC Cajamarca take on Alianza Atletico on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

UTC Cajamarca's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Universitario 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Alianza Atletico's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for UTC Cajamarca and 0.6 for Alianza Atletico. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 65%, draw 21%, Alianza Atletico 14%.
Safer route: UTC Cajamarca or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.65.
Value angle: UTC Cajamarca to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–0 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

UTC Cajamarca65%fair 1.54 · @1.80

Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.30

Alianza Atletico14%fair 7.27 · @4.70

2.18Expected goals

1.62UTC Cajamarca xG

0.55Alianza Atletico xG

48%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%

2–015%

0–011%

1–110%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.6 – 0.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	UTC Cajamarca to win	65%	1.54	1.80 ▲
Double chance	UTC Cajamarca or draw	86%	1.16	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	52%	1.93	1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	65%	1.55	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	61%	1.63	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	81%	1.24	1.20
Half-time result	Level at half-time	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca	39%	2.54	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	18%	5.44	–

Form

UTC Cajamarca – last 3

LDW

15 Mar	@ Universitario	0–2	L
22 Feb	@ ADT	2–2	D
13 Feb	vs Cusco	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Alianza Atletico – last 4

WDDD

4 Mar	vs Deportivo Garcilaso	2–0	W
27 Feb	vs ADT	0–0	D
22 Feb	@ Cienciano	1–1	D
15 Feb	vs Alianza Lima	0–0	D

0.8Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

25%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Atletico 14%.

How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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