Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✓72% · @1.23
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.01
Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Lima take on Juan Pablo II College on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Juan Pablo II College sit 9th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Alianza Lima and 0.7 for Juan Pablo II College. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 72%, draw 21%, Juan Pablo II College 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Lima to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 2–0 Juan Pablo II College. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima72%fair 1.38 · @1.23
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @5.40
Juan Pablo II College7%fair 14.36 · @13.50
3.16Expected goals
2.42Alianza Lima xG
0.74Juan Pablo II College xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.4 – 0.7 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
72%
1.38
1.23
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.01
–
Form
Alianza Lima – last 4
DWWD
15 Mar
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Sport Boys
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Juan Pablo II College – last 2
WW
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Juan Pablo II College.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juan Pablo II College 7%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
