Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario prediction & analysis
71%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.40
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Universitario to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitario to win63% · @1.80
Double chanceUniversitario or draw87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.38
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario preview and prediction
The match
Comerciantes Unidos host Universitario in the Primera División on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Comerciantes Unidos are 13th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Universitario sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Comerciantes Unidos's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat FC Cajamarca 4–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Universitario's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat UTC Cajamarca 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universitario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.9 for Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Comerciantes Unidos 13%, draw 24%, Universitario 63%.
Safer route: Universitario or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Universitario to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Comerciantes Unidos 0–2 Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Comerciantes Unidos13%fair 7.93 · @4.65
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.35
Universitario63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
2.70Expected goals
0.77Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.93Universitario xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 0.8 – 1.9 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Universitario or draw
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.38
–
Form
Comerciantes Unidos – last 4
WWLD
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 3
WWW
15 Mar
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes Unidos and Universitario.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitario 63%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 0–2 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
