Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCienciano to win ✓71% · @1.45
Double chanceCienciano or draw ✓92% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
Cienciano host FC Cajamarca in the Primera División on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cienciano are 12th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cienciano's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Cusco 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
FC Cajamarca's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Comerciantes Unidos 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cienciano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Cienciano and 0.8 for FC Cajamarca. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cienciano 71%, draw 21%, FC Cajamarca 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cienciano 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cienciano71%fair 1.41 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.35
FC Cajamarca8%fair 11.80 · @6.60
3.24Expected goals
2.43Cienciano xG
0.81FC Cajamarca xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Cienciano 2.4 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
71%
1.41
1.45
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Half-time result
Cienciano ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Cienciano – last 5
WWWDL
16 Mar
@ Cusco
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–1
W
28 Feb
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Universitario
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 4
LLLL
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 8%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
