Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Ind. Yumbo to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultInd. Yumbo to win43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.77
Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Orsomarso take on Ind. Yumbo on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. Orsomarso are 13th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Ind. Yumbo sit 4th on 2 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orsomarso's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Depor FC 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ind. Yumbo's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Internacional Palmira 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Ind. Yumbo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Orsomarso and 1.2 for Ind. Yumbo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ind. Yumbo to win at 2.62 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Orsomarso 0–1 Ind. Yumbo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orsomarso32%fair 3.12 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Ind. Yumbo43%fair 2.33 · @2.62
2.13Expected goals
0.96Orsomarso xG
1.17Ind. Yumbo xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.0 – 1.2 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ind. Yumbo to win
43%
2.33
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ind. Yumbo / FT Ind. Yumbo
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.77
–
Form
Orsomarso – last 4
DLLD
11 Mar
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Real Soacha
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ind. Yumbo – last 6
LWDWDW
17 Mar
@ Internacional Palmira
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Leones FC
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Real Santander
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Tigres FC
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orsomarso and Ind. Yumbo.
What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ind. Yumbo 43%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 0–1 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?
Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
