Value bet: Internacional Palmira to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional Palmira to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.81
Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira preview and prediction
The match
Leones FC host Internacional Palmira in the Primera B on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. Leones FC are 16th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Internacional Palmira sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leones FC's last 4: LDLW Most recently they lost to Envigado 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Internacional Palmira's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Ind. Yumbo 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Internacional Palmira arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Leones FC and 1.5 for Internacional Palmira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones FC 27%, draw 22%, Internacional Palmira 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Internacional Palmira to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Leones FC 1–1 Internacional Palmira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones FC27%fair 3.66 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Internacional Palmira50%fair 1.99 · @2.15
2.52Expected goals
1.02Leones FC xG
1.51Internacional Palmira xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.0 – 1.5 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional Palmira to win✓
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional Palmira / FT Internacional Palmira✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.81
–
Form
Leones FC – last 4
LDLW
11 Mar
vs Envigado
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Depor FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Real Cartagena
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Internacional Palmira – last 3
WDD
17 Mar
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Real Soacha
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Internacional Palmira.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Internacional Palmira 50%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?
Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
