Value bet: Tigres FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres FC to win40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.75
Real Santander vs Tigres FC preview and prediction
The match
Tigres FC travel to Estadio Villa Concha in the Primera B on Saturday 21 March (21:00 WAT) to face Real Santander. Real Santander are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Tigres FC sit 2nd on 5 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Santander's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tigres FC's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Depor FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tigres FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Real Santander and 1.0 for Tigres FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Santander 34%, draw 26%, Tigres FC 40%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Tigres FC to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Real Santander 0–1 Tigres FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Santander34%fair 2.91 · @2.33
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Tigres FC40%fair 2.50 · @3.10
1.93Expected goals
0.91Real Santander xG
1.02Tigres FC xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Real Santander 0.9 – 1.0 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres FC to win
40%
2.50
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.75
–
Form
Real Santander – last 3
DLD
10 Mar
vs Popayan
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tigres FC – last 6
WWDDLL
16 Mar
vs Depor FC
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Bogota FC
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Patriotas
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Union Magdalena
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Tigres FC.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigres FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 0–1 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
Real Santander vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
