Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗61% · @1.60
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha preview and prediction
The match
Union Magdalena host Real Soacha in the Primera B on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Real Soacha sit 4th on 2 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Union Magdalena and 0.7 for Real Soacha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 61%, draw 20%, Real Soacha 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Soacha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena61%fair 1.63 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.35
Real Soacha19%fair 5.21 · @5.60
2.32Expected goals
1.60Union Magdalena xG
0.72Real Soacha xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.6 – 0.7 Real Soacha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
61%
1.63
1.60
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.36
–
Form
Union Magdalena – last 2
WW
4 Mar
@ Barranquilla
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Soacha – last 2
DW
5 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Orsomarso
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Real Soacha.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Soacha 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Soacha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
