Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Orsomarso to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Depor FC vs Orsomarso preview and prediction
The match
Depor FC host Orsomarso in the Primera B on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 23:45 (WAT). Depor FC are 11th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Orsomarso sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Depor FC's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Leones FC 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Orsomarso's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Depor FC and 1.1 for Orsomarso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Depor FC 36%, draw 25%, Orsomarso 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Orsomarso to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Depor FC 0–1 Orsomarso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Depor FC36%fair 2.81 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Orsomarso39%fair 2.57 · @2.85
2.04Expected goals
0.99Depor FC xG
1.05Orsomarso xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Depor FC 1.0 – 1.1 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orsomarso to win✗
39%
2.57
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Depor FC – last 3
DLD
3 Mar
vs Leones FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Bogota FC
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Patriotas
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 3
LLD
7 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Real Soacha
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Depor FC and Orsomarso.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Depor FC vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Depor FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orsomarso 39%.
How many goals will there be in Depor FC vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Depor FC vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Depor FC 0–1 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Depor FC vs Orsomarso?
Depor FC vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
