Value bet: San Marcos de Arica to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✗62% · @1.77
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✗83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees San Marcos de Arica take on Rangers de Talca on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Rangers de Talca sit 16th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Union Espanola 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rangers de Talca's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Magallanes 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Rangers de Talca 2–3 San Marcos de Arica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for San Marcos de Arica and 0.7 for Rangers de Talca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 62%, draw 21%, Rangers de Talca 17%.
Safer route: San Marcos de Arica or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: San Marcos de Arica to win at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Rangers de Talca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica62%fair 1.60 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
Rangers de Talca17%fair 5.84 · @4.10
2.44Expected goals
1.71San Marcos de Arica xG
0.73Rangers de Talca xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.7 – 0.7 Rangers de Talca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rangers de Talca 17%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Rangers de Talca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca?
San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers de Talca (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
