Value bet: Deportes Copiapo to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRecoleta to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Copiapo travel to face Recoleta in the Primera B on Saturday 22 August (17:30 WAT). Recoleta are 7th with 42 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Deportes Copiapo sit 8th on 41 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Recoleta's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Deportes Temuco 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportes Copiapo's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Curico Unido 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Recoleta and 1.4 for Deportes Copiapo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Deportes Copiapo to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Recoleta 1–1 Deportes Copiapo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recoleta41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Deportes Copiapo37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.46Recoleta xG
1.37Deportes Copiapo xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.5 – 1.4 Deportes Copiapo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✓
41%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.59
–
Form
Recoleta – last 6
DWDLLD
18 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs D. Puerto Montt
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Colo Colo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportes Copiapo – last 6
WLDWDL
17 Aug
vs Curico Unido
4–0
W
14 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs San Luis
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Rangers de Talca
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Everton de Vina
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Deportes Copiapo.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportes Copiapo 37%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 Deportes Copiapo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
