Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Magallanes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Magallanes to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMagallanes to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceMagallanes or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
Magallanes host Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santiago Bueras. Magallanes are 5th with 46 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Magallanes's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Rangers de Talca 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to San Luis 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Magallanes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Magallanes and 0.9 for Deportes Santa Cruz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Magallanes 63%, draw 21%, Deportes Santa Cruz 16%.
Safer route: Magallanes or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Magallanes to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Magallanes or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Magallanes 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Magallanes63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Deportes Santa Cruz16%fair 6.45 · @3.70
3.03Expected goals
2.09Magallanes xG
0.94Deportes Santa Cruz xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Magallanes 2.1 – 0.9 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Magallanes to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Magallanes or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Half-time result
Magallanes ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Magallanes / FT Magallanes✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Magallanes – last 6
WDWWLL
15 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
12 Aug
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–3
W
2 Aug
vs Union Espanola
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
LWDLLL
17 Aug
vs San Luis
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Curico Unido
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs D. Puerto Montt
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Santiago Wanderers
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Cobreloa
2–4
L
11 Jul
@ Palestino
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Magallanes and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Magallanes or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Magallanes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportes Santa Cruz 16%.
How many goals will there be in Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Magallanes 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bueras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
