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Primera B · Chile

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSantiago Wanderers to win ✗45% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.94

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction

The match

Santiago Wanderers host San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Santiago Wanderers are 3rd with 50 points from 29 games (in the top four), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Santiago Wanderers's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Union La Calera 0–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.

San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Coquimbo Unido 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished San Marcos de Arica 0–0 Santiago Wanderers.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Santiago Wanderers and 1.1 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Santiago Wanderers 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Santiago Wanderers45%fair 2.21 · @2.33
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica33%fair 3.06 · @2.85
2.52Expected goals
1.40Santiago Wanderers xG
1.13San Marcos de Arica xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Santiago Wanderers 1.4 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantiago Wanderers to win ✗45%2.212.33 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santiago Wanderers / FT Santiago Wanderers ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.94–

Form

Santiago Wanderers – last 6

LWWLLL
5 Augvs Union La Calera0–4L
2 Aug@ Deportes Santa Cruz3–1W
25 Julvs Union San Felipe2–0W
5 Julvs Universidad de Chile2–3L
28 Jun@ Union La Calera0–4L
21 Jun@ Universidad de Chile1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

San Marcos de Arica – last 6

LDWLLL
6 Aug@ Coquimbo Unido0–1L
1 Augvs Deportes Iquique1–1D
26 Julvs Magallanes2–0W
6 Jul@ Deportes Limache1–4L
27 Junvs Coquimbo Unido0–1L
20 Junvs Deportes Limache1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026San Marcos de Arica v Santiago Wanderers0–0
Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

On our numbers Santiago Wanderers have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Marcos de Arica 33%.

How many goals will there be in Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our predicted score is Santiago Wanderers 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.