Value bet: D. Puerto Montt to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Santa Cruz to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Deportes Santa Cruz take on D. Puerto Montt on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT). Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th with 24 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while D. Puerto Montt sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Santiago Wanderers 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Recoleta 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
D. Puerto Montt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.2 for D. Puerto Montt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Santa Cruz 40%, draw 24%, D. Puerto Montt 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: D. Puerto Montt to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 D. Puerto Montt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Santa Cruz40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
D. Puerto Montt36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
2.59Expected goals
1.34Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.24D. Puerto Montt xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 – 1.2 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and D. Puerto Montt 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
