Value bet: Recoleta to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRecoleta to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Union San Felipe vs Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
Union San Felipe host Recoleta in the Primera B on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. Union San Felipe are 15th with 23 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while Recoleta sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union San Felipe's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Universidad de Chile 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Recoleta's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to D. Puerto Montt 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Recoleta 2–0 Union San Felipe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Union San Felipe and 1.5 for Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union San Felipe 35%, draw 24%, Recoleta 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Recoleta to win at 2.60 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union San Felipe 1–1 Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union San Felipe35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Recoleta41%fair 2.41 · @2.60
2.76Expected goals
1.31Union San Felipe xG
1.45Recoleta xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.3 – 1.5 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Recoleta 41%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
Union San Felipe vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
