Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: San Luis to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Luis to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceSan Luis or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
San Luis vs Union Espanola preview and prediction
The match
Union Espanola travel to face San Luis in the Primera B on Sunday 4 October (21:30 WAT). San Luis are 2nd with 54 points from 29 games (in the top four), while Union Espanola sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Luis's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Union San Felipe 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Espanola's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Deportes Temuco 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Luis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for San Luis and 0.8 for Union Espanola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Luis 62%, draw 23%, Union Espanola 15%.
Safer route: San Luis or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: San Luis to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Luis or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Luis 1–0 Union Espanola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Luis62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
Union Espanola15%fair 6.85 · @3.75
2.64Expected goals
1.86San Luis xG
0.78Union Espanola xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Luis 1.9 – 0.8 Union Espanola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
San Luis or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
San Luis ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
San Luis – last 6
WWWWLW
30 Sep
@ Union San Felipe
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Antofagasta
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Cobreloa
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Espanola – last 6
DLDLLW
16 Sep
vs Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
0–1
L
27 Aug
@ Colo Colo
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Cobreloa
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Luis and Union Espanola.
What is the prediction for San Luis vs Union Espanola?
Our pick is San Luis or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Luis vs Union Espanola?
On our numbers San Luis have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union Espanola 15%.
How many goals will there be in San Luis vs Union Espanola?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Luis vs Union Espanola?
Our predicted score is San Luis 1–0 Union Espanola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Luis vs Union Espanola?
San Luis vs Union Espanola (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
