Value bet: Deportes Iquique to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Iquique to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique preview and prediction
The match
Union San Felipe host Deportes Iquique in the Primera B on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. Union San Felipe are 15th with 23 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while Deportes Iquique sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union San Felipe's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to San Luis 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Deportes Iquique's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Antofagasta 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Deportes Iquique 5–0 Union San Felipe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Union San Felipe and 1.4 for Deportes Iquique. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union San Felipe 32%, draw 21%, Deportes Iquique 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Deportes Iquique to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Union San Felipe 1–1 Deportes Iquique. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union San Felipe32%fair 3.14 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Deportes Iquique47%fair 2.12 · @2.30
2.42Expected goals
1.05Union San Felipe xG
1.37Deportes Iquique xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.4 Deportes Iquique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportes Iquique 47%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Deportes Iquique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
