Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Santa Cruz host San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT). Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th with 24 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to O'Higgins 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Curico Unido 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.1 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Santa Cruz 40%, draw 24%, San Marcos de Arica 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Santa Cruz40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
San Marcos de Arica36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
2.36Expected goals
1.22Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.14San Marcos de Arica xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.2 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Marcos de Arica 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
