Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Valur Reykjavik to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees Thor Akureyri take on Valur Reykjavik on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Thorsvollur. Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30 points from 27 games, while Valur Reykjavik sit 2nd on 34 points.
Form guide
Thor Akureyri's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with FH hafnarfjordur 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Valur Reykjavik's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Keflavik 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Valur Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Thor Akureyri 5–1 Valur Reykjavik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Thor Akureyri and 2.3 for Valur Reykjavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 68%.
Our pre-match pick was Valur Reykjavik to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thor Akureyri 1–2 Valur Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thor Akureyri22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @4.20
Valur Reykjavik63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
3.61Expected goals
1.27Thor Akureyri xG
2.34Valur Reykjavik xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.3 – 2.3 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Valur Reykjavik to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Valur Reykjavik 63%.
How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–2 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
