Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: KR Reykjavik to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKR Reykjavik to win ✗67% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.57
Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
KR Reykjavik travel to face Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Sunday 28 June (18:00 WAT). Keflavik are 6th with 30 points from 27 games, while KR Reykjavik sit 2nd on 56 points. A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Keflavik's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Valur Reykjavik 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
KR Reykjavik's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat IA Akranes 5–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.5 for Keflavik and 2.8 for KR Reykjavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: KR Reykjavik to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Keflavik 1–2 KR Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keflavik20%fair 4.99 · @3.65
Draw13%fair 7.89 · @4.50
KR Reykjavik67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
4.31Expected goals
1.49Keflavik xG
2.83KR Reykjavik xG
71%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Keflavik 1.5 – 2.8 KR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KR Reykjavik to win✗
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
KR Reykjavik ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KR Reykjavik / FT KR Reykjavik✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.57
–
Form
Keflavik – last 6
DLLWDW
21 Jun
@ Valur Reykjavik
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs FH hafnarfjordur
1–2
L
31 May
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1–6
L
22 May
vs Thor Akureyri
1–0
W
17 May
vs Stjarnan
1–1
D
8 May
@ IA Akranes
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KR Reykjavik – last 6
WLWWLD
22 Jun
vs IA Akranes
5–3
W
16 Jun
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–2
L
31 May
vs KA Akureyri
5–3
W
26 May
vs Valur Reykjavik
3–1
W
22 May
@ Breidablik
3–6
L
17 May
vs Fram Reykjavik
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and KR Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 13% and KR Reykjavik 67%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–2 KR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
