The Úrvalsdeild sees Stjarnan take on KA Akureyri on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while KA Akureyri sit 5th on 29 points.
Form guide
Stjarnan's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
KA Akureyri's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Breidablik 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.1 for Stjarnan and 1.7 for KA Akureyri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stjarnan 48%, draw 18%, KA Akureyri 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.28.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stjarnan48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.00
KA Akureyri34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
3.79Expected goals
2.08Stjarnan xG
1.72KA Akureyri xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.1 – 1.7 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✓
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Form
Stjarnan – last 6
LDLWLL
21 Jun
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1–2
L
16 Jun
vs Breidablik
4–4
D
10 Jun
@ Afturelding
1–3
L
31 May
@ Thor Akureyri
3–1
W
26 May
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1–3
L
22 May
vs Fram Reykjavik
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
KA Akureyri – last 6
LLLLWL
21 Jun
@ Breidablik
1–3
L
15 Jun
vs Fram Reykjavik
3–4
L
31 May
@ KR Reykjavik
3–5
L
22 May
vs Valur Reykjavik
0–1
L
17 May
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–1
W
14 May
vs Ægir
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and KA Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and KA Akureyri 34%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
