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NWSL Women · USA · CPKC Stadium
5–1
FT

Kansas City W vs Bay FC W prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Kansas City W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKansas City W to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceKansas City W or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Kansas City W vs Bay FC W preview and prediction

The match

Kansas City W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at CPKC Stadium. Kansas City W are 4th with 53 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Bay FC W sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Kansas City W's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Denver Summit W 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Bay FC W's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Orlando Pride W 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Kansas City W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Bay FC W 1–2 Kansas City W.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Kansas City W and 0.8 for Bay FC W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kansas City W to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Kansas City W 1–0 Bay FC W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kansas City W65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.20
Bay FC W18%fair 5.70 · @4.40
2.77Expected goals
1.93Kansas City W xG
0.84Bay FC W xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Kansas City W 1.9 – 0.8 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKansas City W to win ✓65%1.551.50
Double chanceKansas City W or draw ✓82%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultKansas City W ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Form

Kansas City W – last 6

WLDWWD
26 Sepvs Denver Summit W4–1W
19 Sep@ San Diego Wave W0–2L
12 Sepvs Orlando Pride W2–2D
5 Sep@ Bay FC W2–1W
29 Augvs North Carolina Courage W3–2W
22 Augvs Seattle Reign FC W1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bay FC W – last 6

LWDLLL
27 Sepvs Orlando Pride W1–3L
21 Sepvs Racing Louisville W2–0W
17 Sep@ Denver Summit W2–2D
13 Sep@ Seattle Reign FC W0–2L
5 Sepvs Kansas City W1–2L
30 Aug@ Washington Spirit W0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Bay FC W v Kansas City W1–2
Kansas City W vs Bay FC W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

Our pick is Kansas City W to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

On our numbers Kansas City W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bay FC W 18%.

How many goals will there be in Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

Our predicted score is Kansas City W 1–0 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kansas City W vs Bay FC W?

Kansas City W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at CPKC Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.