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NWSL Women · USA · Exploria Stadium
1–2
FT

Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

San Diego Wave W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.91Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23

Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W preview and prediction

The match

The NWSL Women sees Orlando Pride W take on San Diego Wave W on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Exploria Stadium. Orlando Pride W are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while San Diego Wave W sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Orlando Pride W's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Bay FC W 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

San Diego Wave W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Racing Louisville W 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

San Diego Wave W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished San Diego Wave W 0–1 Orlando Pride W.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Orlando Pride W and 1.8 for San Diego Wave W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was San Diego Wave W to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orlando Pride W 0–1 San Diego Wave W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Orlando Pride W22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.35 · @3.40
San Diego Wave W64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
2.71Expected goals
0.88Orlando Pride W xG
1.83San Diego Wave W xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Orlando Pride W 0.9 – 1.8 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓64%1.561.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultSan Diego Wave W ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W ✓37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.23–

Form

Orlando Pride W – last 6

WLDWLW
27 Sep@ Bay FC W3–1W
19 Sepvs Portland Thorns W1–4L
12 Sep@ Kansas City W2–2D
7 Sepvs Houston Dash W3–1W
30 Augvs Utah Royals W1–2L
23 Aug@ Washington Spirit W1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

San Diego Wave W – last 6

WWWLWW
25 Sep@ Racing Louisville W2–0W
19 Sepvs Kansas City W2–0W
12 Sepvs North Carolina Courage W2–1W
7 Sep@ Seattle Reign FC W0–1L
29 Augvs Racing Louisville W3–2W
22 Augvs Utah Royals W4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026San Diego Wave W v Orlando Pride W0–1

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our pick is San Diego Wave W to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?

On our numbers Orlando Pride W have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and San Diego Wave W 64%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our predicted score is Orlando Pride W 0–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?

Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.