Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
San Diego Wave W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Orlando Pride W take on San Diego Wave W on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Exploria Stadium. Orlando Pride W are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while San Diego Wave W sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orlando Pride W's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Bay FC W 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
San Diego Wave W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Racing Louisville W 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
San Diego Wave W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished San Diego Wave W 0–1 Orlando Pride W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Orlando Pride W and 1.8 for San Diego Wave W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orlando Pride W 22%, draw 14%, San Diego Wave W 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Diego Wave W to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orlando Pride W 0–1 San Diego Wave W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando Pride W22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.35 · @3.40
San Diego Wave W64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
2.71Expected goals
0.88Orlando Pride W xG
1.83San Diego Wave W xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Orlando Pride W 0.9 – 1.8 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our pick is San Diego Wave W to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?
On our numbers Orlando Pride W have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and San Diego Wave W 64%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our predicted score is Orlando Pride W 0–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W?
Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.