NWSL Women · USA · Lumen FieldSeattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Seattle Reign FC W 1.5 – 1.4 North Carolina Courage W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Seattle Reign FC W and North Carolina Courage W on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Seattle Reign FC W have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. North Carolina Courage W have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Seattle Reign FC W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Seattle Reign FC W, 1.4 for North Carolina Courage W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Seattle Reign FC W have won 0, North Carolina Courage W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.64.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Seattle Reign FC W to win ✗ | 41% | 2.43 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Seattle Reign FC W / FT Seattle Reign FC W ✗ | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.39 | – |
Form
Seattle Reign FC W – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Boston Legacy W | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Denver Summit W | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | @ Angel City W | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Bay FC W | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs San Diego Wave W | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Houston Dash W | 1–0 | W |
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
| 28 Sep | @ Utah Royals W | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs NJNY Gotham FC W | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ San Diego Wave W | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Chicago Red Stars W | 6–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Kansas City W | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Angel City W | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Jul 2026 | North Carolina Courage W v Seattle Reign FC W | 3–1 |
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 30 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 30 | +14 | 58 |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 30 | +15 | 55 |
| 4 |  Kansas City W | 30 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |  Angel City W | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns W | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Utah Royals W | 30 | +5 | 47 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 30 | +4 | 47 |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 30 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 30 | +11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 30 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 30 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 30 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 30 | -54 | 17 |
More NWSL Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?
On our numbers Seattle Reign FC W have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and North Carolina Courage W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?
Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.