Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Racing Louisville W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Louisville W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Louisville W to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceRacing Louisville W or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W preview and prediction
The match
Chicago Red Stars W host Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Martin Stadium. Chicago Red Stars W are 16th with 17 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Racing Louisville W sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Houston Dash W 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Racing Louisville W's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Seattle Reign FC W 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Racing Louisville W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Racing Louisville W 2–1 Chicago Red Stars W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Chicago Red Stars W and 2.0 for Racing Louisville W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Red Stars W 15%, draw 20%, Racing Louisville W 65%.
Safer route: Racing Louisville W or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Racing Louisville W to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Racing Louisville W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Racing Louisville W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Red Stars W15%fair 6.53 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.50
Racing Louisville W65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
2.88Expected goals
0.85Chicago Red Stars W xG
2.03Racing Louisville W xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.9 – 2.0 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Racing Louisville W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Racing Louisville W 65%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?
Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Martin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
