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NWSL Women · USA · Audi Field

Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W prediction & analysis

88%
Footrivo pick

Washington Spirit W or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Washington Spirit W to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03

Win chances

Washington Spirit W64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Orlando Pride W12%fair 8.21 · @4.00
2.58Expected goals
1.88Washington Spirit W xG
0.70Orlando Pride W xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Washington Spirit W 1.9 – 0.7 Orlando Pride W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Washington Spirit W are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Orlando Pride W.

Washington Spirit W have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Orlando Pride W have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. Washington Spirit W come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Washington Spirit W, 0.7 for Orlando Pride W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Washington Spirit W or draw at a 88% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Washington Spirit W to win at 1.73 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWashington Spirit W to win ✗64%1.561.73 ▲
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✗88%1.141.20 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultWashington Spirit W ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W ✗42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.03–

Form

Washington Spirit W – last 6

DLLWWW
17 Aug@ Angel City W1–1D
8 Augvs North Carolina Courage W3–4L
2 Augvs San Diego Wave W0–1L
30 Jul@ Utah Royals W1–0W
27 Julvs Denver Summit W1–0W
20 Jul@ Boston Legacy W2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orlando Pride W – last 6

LLLWLL
16 Aug@ Portland Thorns W1–2L
8 Augvs Racing Louisville W1–3L
1 Aug@ North Carolina Courage W0–5L
25 Julvs Chicago Red Stars W1–0W
19 Jul@ Utah Royals W0–1L
16 Julvs Boston Legacy W0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Washington Spirit W and Orlando Pride W.

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W?

Our pick is Washington Spirit W or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W?

On our numbers Washington Spirit W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orlando Pride W 12%.

How many goals will there be in Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W?

Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.