Incheon United vs Gangwon FC prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Gangwon FC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGangwon FC to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.29
Incheon United vs Gangwon FC preview and prediction
The match
Gangwon FC travel to Sungui Arena Park in the K League 1 on Saturday 2 May (08:30 WAT) to face Incheon United. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Gangwon FC sit 4th on 51 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Incheon United's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Jeju United FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gangwon FC's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to FC Seoul 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Incheon United and 1.3 for Gangwon FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Incheon United 31%, draw 24%, Gangwon FC 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Gangwon FC to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Gangwon FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Incheon United31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.00
Gangwon FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
2.41Expected goals
1.07Incheon United xG
1.35Gangwon FC xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.1 – 1.3 Gangwon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gangwon FC to win✓
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gangwon FC / FT Gangwon FC✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.29
–
Form
Incheon United – last 6
WWDLWW
25 Apr
vs Jeju United FC
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Bucheon FC 1995
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gangwon FC – last 6
LWDWWL
25 Apr
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Daejeon Citizen
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Gwangju FC
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Incheon United and Gangwon FC.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Gangwon FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Incheon United vs Gangwon FC?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gangwon FC 45%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Gangwon FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Gangwon FC?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Gangwon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Gangwon FC?
Incheon United vs Gangwon FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
