Value bet: Pohang Steelers to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Ulsan Hyundai FC take on Pohang Steelers on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd with 57 points from 35 games, while Pohang Steelers sit 9th on 44 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ulsan Hyundai FC's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Daejeon Citizen 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Pohang Steelers's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Jeonbuk Motors 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Ulsan Hyundai FC and 1.1 for Pohang Steelers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Pohang Steelers to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–1 Pohang Steelers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulsan Hyundai FC43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Pohang Steelers34%fair 2.90 · @3.25
2.43Expected goals
1.31Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
1.12Pohang Steelers xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.3 – 1.1 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulsan Hyundai FC to win✗
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulsan Hyundai FC / FT Ulsan Hyundai FC✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Ulsan Hyundai FC – last 6
LDWLWL
26 Apr
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–4
L
22 Apr
@ FC Anyang
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Gwangju FC
5–1
W
15 Apr
vs FC Seoul
1–4
L
11 Apr
@ Incheon United
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pohang Steelers – last 6
LWLLWW
26 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors
2–3
L
22 Apr
vs Gwangju FC
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs FC Anyang
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Jeju United FC
0–2
L
4 Apr
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers.
What is the prediction for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
On our numbers Ulsan Hyundai FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pohang Steelers 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
Our predicted score is Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–1 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
