Value bet: Ulsan Hyundai FC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.46
Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC preview and prediction
The match
Incheon United host Ulsan Hyundai FC in the K League 1 on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Sungui Arena Park. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 2nd on 57 points.
Form guide
Incheon United's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Ulsan Hyundai FC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Jeonbuk Motors 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Incheon United and 1.4 for Ulsan Hyundai FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Incheon United 34%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Ulsan Hyundai FC to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Incheon United34%fair 2.94 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Ulsan Hyundai FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
2.55Expected goals
1.20Incheon United xG
1.36Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.2 – 1.4 Ulsan Hyundai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulsan Hyundai FC to win✓
42%
2.40
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulsan Hyundai FC / FT Ulsan Hyundai FC✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
Incheon United – last 5
WWLDL
5 Apr
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Ulsan Hyundai FC – last 6
LDWWWD
4 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Bucheon FC 1995
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs Gangwon FC
3–1
W
18 Feb
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Incheon United and Ulsan Hyundai FC.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ulsan Hyundai FC 42%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
