Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Pohang Steelers to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPohang Steelers to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chancePohang Steelers or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.56
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Pohang Steelers take on Jeju United FC on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Pohang Steel Yard. Pohang Steelers are 9th with 44 points from 35 games, while Jeju United FC sit 7th on 48 points.
Form guide
Pohang Steelers's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Daejeon Citizen 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jeju United FC's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Bucheon FC 1995 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Pohang Steelers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Pohang Steelers and 0.4 for Jeju United FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pohang Steelers 65%, draw 24%, Jeju United FC 11%.
Safer route: Pohang Steelers or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Pohang Steelers to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jeju United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pohang Steelers65%fair 1.53 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Jeju United FC11%fair 9.25 · @4.60
1.93Expected goals
1.51Pohang Steelers xG
0.42Jeju United FC xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pohang Steelers 1.5 – 0.4 Jeju United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pohang Steelers to win✗
65%
1.53
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Pohang Steelers or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.18 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pohang Steelers / FT Pohang Steelers✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.56
–
Form
Pohang Steelers – last 6
WWDLDD
4 Apr
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bucheon FC 1995
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs FC Seoul
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Incheon United
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Jeju United FC – last 6
WDLLLD
4 Apr
vs Bucheon FC 1995
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Gwangju FC
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC.
What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC?
On our numbers Pohang Steelers have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeju United FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC?
Our predicted score is Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jeju United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC?
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pohang Steel Yard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
