Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Gwangju FC to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGwangju FC to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 preview and prediction
The match
Bucheon FC 1995 travel to Gwangju Football Stadium in the K League 1 on Saturday 11 April (08:30 WAT) to face Gwangju FC. Gwangju FC are 12th with 23 points from 35 games, while Bucheon FC 1995 sit 11th on 33 points.
Form guide
Gwangju FC's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Gangwon FC 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bucheon FC 1995's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Jeju United FC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Gwangju FC and 1.0 for Bucheon FC 1995. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gwangju FC 40%, draw 26%, Bucheon FC 1995 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Gwangju FC to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Gwangju FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gwangju FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Bucheon FC 199534%fair 2.90 · @2.70
2.16Expected goals
1.13Gwangju FC xG
1.02Bucheon FC 1995 xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.1 – 1.0 Bucheon FC 1995 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gwangju FC to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gwangju FC / FT Gwangju FC✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.63
–
Form
Gwangju FC – last 5
LLDDD
4 Apr
@ Gangwon FC
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ FC Seoul
0–5
L
17 Mar
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bucheon FC 1995 – last 6
LDDLDW
4 Apr
@ Jeju United FC
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gwangju FC and Bucheon FC 1995.
What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bucheon FC 1995 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
