America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
America de Cali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win58% · @1.95
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.00
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali host Deportes Tolima in the Primera A on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 22:10 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Deportes Tolima sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
America de Cali's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Pasto 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportes Tolima's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat O'Higgins 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for America de Cali and 0.7 for Deportes Tolima. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 58%, draw 22%, Deportes Tolima 21%.
Safer route: America de Cali or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: America de Cali to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was America de Cali or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–0 Deportes Tolima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.00
Deportes Tolima21%fair 4.82 · @4.20
2.17Expected goals
1.46America de Cali xG
0.71Deportes Tolima xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.5 – 0.7 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
America de Cali or draw
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
6.00
–
Form
America de Cali – last 5
LWWLW
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Jaguares
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WLWLWW
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Cucuta
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Once Caldas
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportes Tolima 21%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
