Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Santa Fe to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.34
Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Santa Fe host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Santa Fe are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Santa Fe's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Nacional 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Junior 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Santa Fe and 0.6 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Fe 67%, draw 19%, Alianza Valledupar 14%.
Safer route: Santa Fe or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Fe to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Fe 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Fe67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.50
Alianza Valledupar14%fair 7.29 · @5.00
2.44Expected goals
1.81Santa Fe xG
0.63Alianza Valledupar xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.8 – 0.6 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✗
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Santa Fe ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.34
–
Form
Santa Fe – last 4
LWLL
26 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Junior
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Jaguares
1–3
L
14 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 3
DLD
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Santa Fe to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Valledupar 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
