Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Chico vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
Chico host Millonarios in the Primera A on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 00:20 (WAT) at Estadio La Independencia. Chico are 15th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chico's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Once Caldas 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Millonarios's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Cucuta 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Millonarios arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Chico and 1.7 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Millonarios to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chico 0–1 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chico19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.10
Millonarios57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
2.58Expected goals
0.88Chico xG
1.70Millonarios xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chico 0.9 – 1.7 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Millonarios or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
Chico – last 3
LLL
28 Feb
@ Once Caldas
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Millonarios – last 4
WWWL
10 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Deportivo Pereira
5–1
W
22 Feb
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–3
L
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Millonarios.
Our pick is Millonarios to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Chico vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Chico have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Millonarios 57%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Chico 0–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Millonarios?
Chico vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
