Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Pasto to win @ 2.65 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗43% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Pereira host Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas. Deportivo Pereira are 17th with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Pasto sit 18th on 15 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.1 for Deportivo Pasto. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Pasto to win at 2.65 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Deportivo Pasto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pereira34%fair 2.98 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
Deportivo Pasto43%fair 2.34 · @2.65
2.10Expected goals
0.96Deportivo Pereira xG
1.14Deportivo Pasto xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pereira 1.0 – 1.1 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win✗
43%
2.34
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.37
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Deportivo Pereira – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pasto – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Pasto.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Deportivo Pereira have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Pasto 43%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
