Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Once Caldas to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultOnce Caldas to win63% · @1.73
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.14
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC preview and prediction
The match
Once Caldas host Fortaleza FC in the Primera A on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Palogrande. Once Caldas are 8th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Fortaleza FC sit 20th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Once Caldas and 0.7 for Fortaleza FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Once Caldas 63%, draw 20%, Fortaleza FC 16%.
Safer route: Once Caldas or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.63.
Value angle: Once Caldas to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Once Caldas or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Once Caldas 1–0 Fortaleza FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Once Caldas63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Fortaleza FC16%fair 6.22 · @4.33
2.33Expected goals
1.67Once Caldas xG
0.66Fortaleza FC xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.7 – 0.7 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Once Caldas or draw
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.14
–
Form
Once Caldas – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Fortaleza FC – last 2
WL
16 Feb
vs Chico
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Fortaleza FC.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
Our pick is Once Caldas or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fortaleza FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
