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Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”

Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗43% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70

Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin preview and prediction

The match

Independiente Medellin travel to Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé” in the Primera A on Saturday 21 February (00:20 WAT) to face Llaneros. Llaneros are 12th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente Medellin sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half).

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Llaneros and 1.2 for Independiente Medellin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Llaneros 1–1 Independiente Medellin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Llaneros34%fair 2.98 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Independiente Medellin43%fair 2.32 · @2.37
2.23Expected goals
1.02Llaneros xG
1.21Independiente Medellin xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Llaneros 1.0 – 1.2 Independiente Medellin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗43%2.322.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.00
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.70–

Form

Llaneros

No recent results on record.

Independiente Medellin – last 2

WD
18 Feb@ Liverpool Montevideo2–1W
15 Febvs Deportivo Pereira1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Llaneros and Independiente Medellin.

Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?

On our numbers Llaneros have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independiente Medellin 43%.

How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?

Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Independiente Medellin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?

Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.