Primera División · Chile · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Union La Calera
Huachipato
Union La Calera vs Huachipato prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Huachipato to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.5 – 1.3 Huachipato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Union La Calera hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 35% for Huachipato.
Union La Calera have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Huachipato have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. Huachipato come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Union La Calera, 1.3 for Huachipato). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Union La Calera have won 0, Huachipato have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Huachipato to win at 3.30 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Union La Calera to win ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera ✓ | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 10% | 10.39 | – |
Form
Union La Calera – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs Coquimbo Unido | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | @ Coquimbo Unido | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs U. Catolica | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Concepción | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ U. Catolica | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | vs U. Catolica | 1–1 | D |
Huachipato – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs D. La Serena | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ A. Italiano | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs O'Higgins | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Universidad de Concepcion | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Coquimbo Unido | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Colo Colo | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Huachipato v Union La Calera | 3–1 |
More Primera División predictions
A. Italiano0
Coquimbo Unido1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.28
✗
FT
Everton de Vina0
Concepción2
1XEverton de Vina or draw
83%@1.22
✗
FT
D. La Serena1
Palestino0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.20
✗
FT
Nublense1
Colo Colo2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.25
✓
FT
U. Catolica3
Deportes Limache0
1U. Catolica to win
69%@1.48
✓
FT
Universidad de Chile2
Cobresal1
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.73
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Huachipato 35%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
Union La Calera vs Huachipato (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.