Primera División · Chile · Estadio Sausalito
Everton de Vina
Concepción
Everton de Vina vs Concepción prediction & analysis
Everton de Vina or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Everton de Vina to win @ 1.78 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Everton de Vina 1.8 – 0.8 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Everton de Vina are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Concepción.
Everton de Vina have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Concepción have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Everton de Vina, 0.8 for Concepción). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Everton de Vina have won 1, Concepción have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Everton de Vina or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Everton de Vina to win at 1.78 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Everton de Vina to win ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.78 ▲ |
| Double chance | Everton de Vina or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.93 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Everton de Vina ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Everton de Vina / FT Everton de Vina ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.72 | – |
Form
Everton de Vina – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Cobresal | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | @ Universidad de Chile | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs D. La Serena | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Universidad de Chile | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Nublense | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs U. Catolica | 0–1 | L |
Concepción – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Palestino | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ D. La Serena | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Union La Calera | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ O'Higgins | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Oct | vs O'Higgins | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Curico Unido | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 May 2026 | Concepción v Everton de Vina | 0–2 |
More Primera División predictions
A. Italiano0
Coquimbo Unido1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.28
✗
FT
D. La Serena1
Palestino0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.20
✗
FT
Nublense1
Colo Colo2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.25
✓
FT
U. Catolica3
Deportes Limache0
1U. Catolica to win
69%@1.48
✓
FT
Universidad de Chile2
Cobresal1
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.73
✓
FT
Union La Calera1
Huachipato0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
Our pick is Everton de Vina or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
On our numbers Everton de Vina have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Concepción 17%.
How many goals will there be in Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
Everton de Vina vs Concepción (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sausalito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.