Primera División · Chile · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas
Nublense
Colo Colo
Nublense vs Colo Colo prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Colo Colo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nublense 1.0 – 1.9 Colo Colo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colo Colo travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 21% for Nublense.
Nublense have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Colo Colo have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Colo Colo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.0 for Nublense, 1.9 for Colo Colo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Nublense have won 0, Colo Colo have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 8.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Colo Colo to win at 1.85 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colo Colo to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Colo Colo ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colo Colo / FT Colo Colo ✗ | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Nublense – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ O'Higgins | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Coquimbo Unido | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Universidad de Chile | 0–6 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs D. Puerto Montt | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ D. Puerto Montt | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Everton de Vina | 1–3 | L |
Colo Colo – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Universidad de Concepcion | 6–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Palestino | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Coquimbo Unido | 2–5 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs D. Puerto Montt | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ D. Puerto Montt | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs A. Italiano | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Colo Colo v Nublense | 6–2 |
More Primera División predictions
A. Italiano0
Coquimbo Unido1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.28
✗
FT
Everton de Vina0
Concepción2
1XEverton de Vina or draw
83%@1.22
✗
FT
D. La Serena1
Palestino0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.20
✗
FT
U. Catolica3
Deportes Limache0
1U. Catolica to win
69%@1.48
✓
FT
Universidad de Chile2
Cobresal1
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.73
✓
FT
Union La Calera1
Huachipato0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Colo Colo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nublense vs Colo Colo?
On our numbers Nublense have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Colo Colo 60%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Colo Colo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Nublense vs Colo Colo?
Nublense vs Colo Colo (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.