Primera División · Chile · Estadio La Portada
D. La Serena
Palestino
D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Palestino to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.6 Palestino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Palestino shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for D. La Serena.
D. La Serena have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Palestino have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for D. La Serena, 1.6 for Palestino). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, D. La Serena have won 0, Palestino have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Palestino to win at 2.45 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Palestino to win ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.45 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Palestino / FT Palestino ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.20 | – |
Form
D. La Serena – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Huachipato | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Concepción | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Everton de Vina | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Universidad de Chile | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Nublense | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Union La Calera | 1–0 | W |
Palestino – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Concepción | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Colo Colo | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ Deportes Limache | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Oct | @ Alianza Lima | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs U. Catolica | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Universidad de Concepcion | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 16 May 2026 | Palestino v D. La Serena | 5–1 |
More Primera División predictions
A. Italiano0
Coquimbo Unido1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.28
✗
FT
Everton de Vina0
Concepción2
1XEverton de Vina or draw
83%@1.22
✗
FT
Nublense1
Colo Colo2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.25
✓
FT
U. Catolica3
Deportes Limache0
1U. Catolica to win
69%@1.48
✓
FT
Universidad de Chile2
Cobresal1
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.73
✓
FT
Union La Calera1
Huachipato0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Palestino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Palestino?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Palestino 44%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Palestino?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is D. La Serena vs Palestino?
D. La Serena vs Palestino (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.