Primera División · Chile · Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Coquimbo Unido to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.2 – 1.4 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Coquimbo Unido shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 35% for A. Italiano.
A. Italiano have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Coquimbo Unido have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Coquimbo Unido come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for A. Italiano, 1.4 for Coquimbo Unido). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, A. Italiano have won 0, Coquimbo Unido have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Coquimbo Unido to win at 2.55 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Coquimbo Unido to win ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | 2.55 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.36 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido ✗ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 10% | 9.99 | – |
Form
A. Italiano – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Deportes Limache | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ U. Catolica | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Huachipato | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Colo Colo | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Colo Colo | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs O'Higgins | 1–0 | W |
Coquimbo Unido – last 6
| 4 Nov | @ Union La Calera | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | vs Union La Calera | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Nublense | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Colo Colo | 5–2 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Cobreloa | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | @ Cobreloa | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 16 May 2026 | Coquimbo Unido v A. Italiano | 3–0 |
More Primera División predictions
Everton de Vina0
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D. La Serena1
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Nublense1
Colo Colo2
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U. Catolica3
Deportes Limache0
1U. Catolica to win
69%@1.48
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Universidad de Chile2
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Union La Calera1
Huachipato0
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coquimbo Unido 43%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.