Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVasalund to win ✓67% · @1.68
Double chanceVasalund or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Vasalund vs Gefle IF preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Vasalund take on Gefle IF on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Skytteholms IP. Vasalund are 13th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Gefle IF sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Vasalund's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Piteå 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gefle IF's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Umeå FC 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Gefle IF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Vasalund and 1.1 for Gefle IF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasalund 67%, draw 21%, Gefle IF 12%.
Safer route: Vasalund or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vasalund to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vasalund 2–1 Gefle IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasalund67%fair 1.49 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.95
Gefle IF12%fair 8.03 · @3.95
3.54Expected goals
2.49Vasalund xG
1.05Gefle IF xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Vasalund 2.5 – 1.1 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasalund to win✓
67%
1.49
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Vasalund or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.55
Half-time result
Vasalund ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasalund / FT Vasalund✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Vasalund – last 6
LDDWLL
10 May
vs Piteå
1–2
L
1 May
@ Stocksund
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Umeå FC
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Arlanda
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ Stocksund
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 5
DLLWW
9 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ FBK Karlstad
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Sunnersta
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Lucksta
7–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasalund and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Vasalund to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gefle IF 12%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 2–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
Vasalund vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Skytteholms IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
