Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC preview and prediction
The match
Assyriska FF host Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena. Assyriska FF are 11th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Umeå FC sit 8th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Assyriska FF's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Karlberg 3–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Umeå FC's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Gefle IF 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Assyriska FF and 1.7 for Umeå FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Assyriska FF 37%, draw 21%, Umeå FC 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Assyriska FF 1–1 Umeå FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Assyriska FF37%fair 2.68 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
Umeå FC41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
3.22Expected goals
1.57Assyriska FF xG
1.66Umeå FC xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Assyriska FF 1.6 – 1.7 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✓
41%
2.43
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Assyriska FF – last 3
LWL
19 Apr
vs Karlberg
3–4
L
12 Apr
@ Piteå
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Stockholm Internazionale
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Umeå FC – last 6
DWLLLW
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Assyriska FF and Umeå FC.
What is the prediction for Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Assyriska FF have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Umeå FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Assyriska FF 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?
Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
