Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Piteå vs FBK Karlstad preview and prediction
The match
FBK Karlstad travel to LF Arena in the Ettan Norra on Thursday 14 May (12:00 WAT) to face Piteå. Piteå are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while FBK Karlstad sit 6th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Piteå's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Vasalund 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FBK Karlstad's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Gefle IF 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
FBK Karlstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Piteå and 2.1 for FBK Karlstad. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was FBK Karlstad to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Piteå 0–2 FBK Karlstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piteå20%fair 4.88 · @3.70
Draw14%fair 7.30 · @3.95
FBK Karlstad66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
3.02Expected goals
0.97Piteå xG
2.05FBK Karlstad xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.0 – 2.1 FBK Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✓
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Half-time result
FBK Karlstad ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Piteå – last 5
WLLLL
10 May
@ Vasalund
2–1
W
3 May
vs Arlanda
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Hammarby Talang
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ IF Karlstad
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FBK Karlstad – last 3
WLW
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and FBK Karlstad.
Our pick is FBK Karlstad to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
On our numbers Piteå have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 14% and FBK Karlstad 66%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Piteå 0–2 FBK Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
Piteå vs FBK Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
