Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 10.22
FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla preview and prediction
The match
Järfälla travel to face FBK Karlstad in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT). FBK Karlstad are 6th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Järfälla sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FBK Karlstad's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Gefle IF 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for FBK Karlstad and 1.2 for Järfälla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: FBK Karlstad to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: FBK Karlstad 1–1 Järfälla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBK Karlstad49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.55
Järfälla31%fair 3.27 · @2.75
2.80Expected goals
1.61FBK Karlstad xG
1.19Järfälla xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 1.6 – 1.2 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win
49%
2.03
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
10.22
–
Form
FBK Karlstad – last 3
WLW
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Järfälla
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBK Karlstad and Järfälla.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Järfälla 31%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 1–1 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
