Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Arlanda vs Sollentuna preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda host Sollentuna in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sollentuna sit 12th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Piteå 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Arlanda and 0.7 for Sollentuna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Arlanda to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Arlanda 1–0 Sollentuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.80
Sollentuna14%fair 7.23 · @3.90
2.60Expected goals
1.86Arlanda xG
0.74Sollentuna xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arlanda 1.9 – 0.7 Sollentuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Arlanda or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Arlanda – last 5
WWWWD
3 May
@ Piteå
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
12 Apr
@ Umeå FC
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Vasalund
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
2.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sollentuna – last 2
DD
3 May
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ IF Brommapojkarna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Sollentuna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arlanda vs Sollentuna?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sollentuna 14%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Sollentuna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Sollentuna?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–0 Sollentuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Sollentuna?
Arlanda vs Sollentuna (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
