Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.96
Umeå FC vs Karlberg preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Umeå FC take on Karlberg on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Umea Energi Arena. Umeå FC are 8th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Karlberg sit 10th on 37 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Umeå FC's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Karlberg's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Assyriska FF 4–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Umeå FC and 1.6 for Karlberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Umeå FC 40%, draw 21%, Karlberg 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Umeå FC 1–1 Karlberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Umeå FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
Karlberg39%fair 2.60 · @2.55
3.31Expected goals
1.67Umeå FC xG
1.64Karlberg xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.7 – 1.6 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✓
40%
2.50
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.96
–
Form
Umeå FC – last 4
LLLW
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 5
WLLWL
19 Apr
@ Assyriska FF
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Enköping
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Hammarby Talang
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Vasalund
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Karlberg.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlberg 39%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
Umeå FC vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
