Value bet: Assyriska FF to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAssyriska FF to win62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.11
Assyriska FF vs Järfälla preview and prediction
The match
Järfälla travel to Sodertalje Fotbollsarena in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 3 May (15:00 WAT) to face Assyriska FF. Assyriska FF are 11th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Järfälla sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Assyriska FF's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Karlberg 3–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Assyriska FF and 0.9 for Järfälla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Assyriska FF to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Assyriska FF 1–0 Järfälla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Assyriska FF62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @3.70
Järfälla20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
2.69Expected goals
1.81Assyriska FF xG
0.87Järfälla xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Assyriska FF 1.8 – 0.9 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Assyriska FF to win
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.48
Half-time result
Assyriska FF ahead at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Assyriska FF / FT Assyriska FF
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.11
–
Form
Assyriska FF – last 3
LWL
19 Apr
vs Karlberg
3–4
L
12 Apr
@ Piteå
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Stockholm Internazionale
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Järfälla
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Assyriska FF and Järfälla.
What is the prediction for Assyriska FF vs Järfälla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Assyriska FF vs Järfälla?
On our numbers Assyriska FF have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Järfälla 20%.
How many goals will there be in Assyriska FF vs Järfälla?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Assyriska FF vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is Assyriska FF 1–0 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Assyriska FF vs Järfälla?
Assyriska FF vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
